Wednesday, August 3, 2011

A VOLATILE SESSION

Volatility ruled the roost as the key benchmark indices once again weakened in mid-afternoon trade on worries about global economic growth. The barometer index BSE Sensex was below the psychological 18,000 mark after regaining that level briefly in afternoon trade. The Sensex was down 179.05 points or 0.99%, up close to 70 points from the day's low and off close to 75 points from the day's high. The market breadth was weak.
Index heavyweights, Reliance Industries (RIL), Larsen & Toubro (L&T) and ICICI Bank, declined. Bharti Airtel fell after the company reported a surprise fall in first quarter net profit on sequential basis. Bhel hit 52 week low. Other capital goods stocks declined. Auto stocks were mixed.
The market sentiment remains weak, with investors worried that higher interest rates will crimp corporate profit growth. A number of commercial banks have raised lending rates recently after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised its key lending rate by 50 basis points at a policy review early last week.
The market tumbled to 5-1/2-week low at the onset of trading session on weak Asian stocks. The market trimmed losses in morning trade. High intraday volatility was witnessed as key benchmark indices weakened once again after hitting fresh intraday highs in morning trade. The market tumbled to fresh 5-1/2-week low in early afternoon trade. Key benchmark indices sharply pared losses in afternoon trade as US index futures rose. Volatility ruled the roost as the key benchmark indices once again weakened in mid-afternoon trade
At 14:20 IST, the BSE Sensex was down 179.05 points or 0.99% to 17,930.84. The Sensex fell 104.13 points at the day's high of 18,005.76 in afternoon trade. The index dropped 250.39 points at the day's low of 17,859.50 in early afternoon trade, its lowest level since 24 June 2011.
The S&P CNX Nifty was down 58.40 points or 1.07% to 5,398.15. The Nifty hit low of 5,378.85 in intraday trade, its lowest level since 24 June 2011.
The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was weak. On BSE, 1,837 shares fell and 900 shares rose. A total of 116 shares remained unchanged.
From the 30 share Sensex pack, 23 stocks fell and the rest rose. Reliance Infrastructure, ITC and ONGC rose by between 0.54% to 2.09%. DLF, Jindal Steel & Power and ICICI Bank fell by between 2.42% to 3.01%.
Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) fell 0.79% to Rs 828.50. The stock was volatile. The stock hit low of Rs 824 and high of Rs 836 so far during the day. The stock had it a 52-week low of Rs 818.15 on Tuesday, 2 August 2011. The prized KG-D6 fields of RIL produced 31% less than previously projected natural gas output in the April-June 2011 quarter, the Oil Ministry said on Tuesday. The average gas production during April-June 2011 from KG-DWN-98/3 (KG-D6) block was 48.60 million metric standard cubic meters per day (mmscmd), less than the approved Field Development Plan (FDP) rate of 70.39 mmscmd, the ministry said.
RIL's operating profit margin (OPM) declined sharply to 12.25% in Q1 June 2011 from 16.04% in Q1 June 2010 as weak performance from the oil & gas and petrochemicals businesses offset strong performance from the refining segment. RIL's net profit rose 16.69% to Rs 5661 crore on 39.1% increase in net sales to Rs 81018 crore in Q1 June 2011 over Q1 June 2010. The result was announced on 25 July 2011.
RIL's gross refining margin (GRM) surged to $10.3 a barrel from $7.3 a barrel in Q1 June 2010. Gas production from RIL's KG-D6 field off the east coast declined 18% to 156.2 BCF in Q1 June 2011 over Q1 June 2010. Production of gas condensate from the filed jumped 81.6% to 0.21 million barrels in Q1 June 2011 over Q1 June 2010. The company said gas sales have been prioritized as per government's directive with effect from 9 May 2011.
India's largest listed telecom operator by sales Bharti Airtel shed 1.68% to Rs 424.80 after the company reported a surprise fall in first quarter net profit on sequential basis. Nevertheless, the stock came off the day's low of Rs 413.10. Bharti's consolidated net profit as per International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) fell 13.2% to Rs 1215.20 crore on 4.18% growth in total revenue to Rs 16974.90 crore in Q1 June 2011 over Q4 March 2011. The result was announced during trading hours today.
Bharti's consolidated profit was seen rising 8.21% to Rs 1515.81 crore on 3.83% growth in revenue to Rs 16888.87 crore in Q1 June 2011 over Q4 March 2011 according to average estimate of 12 brokerages.
Bharti Airtel said income before taxes fell 17.03% to Rs 1719 crore in Q1 June 2011 over Q1 June 2010, mainly on account of higher interest outgo of Rs 344 crore (due to the Africa acquisition and 3G investments in India), and 3G license fee amortization of Rs 159 crore. The effective tax rate for Q1 increased to 29.9%, mainly due to reduction in tax holiday benefits in India, Bharti said in a statement.
The consolidated operating free cash flow was at Rs 1357 crore in Q1 June 2011. Continued robust cash generation has resulted in improvement of the Net Debt Equity ratio to 1.20 in Q1 June 2011 compared with 1.38 on 30 June 2010.
In a post result statement Sunil Bharti Mittal, Chairman & Managing Director, Bharti Airtel said, Bharti Airtel has started this fiscal year on a stable note. Revenue growth has been steady across all geographies, with Africa recording a healthy sequential growth of approximately 6%, and annual growth of 21%. In India, the company's efforts in the area of cost efficiencies have helped arrest the margin decline. The new customer facing organization in India will see more agile and responsive teams in action. This will also give a fillip to growth in value added services, broadband, digital TV and airtel money. Overall, 2011-12 promises to be an exciting year of transformation.
Capital goods stocks fell in a weak market. State-run power equipment maker Bharat Heavy Electricals (Bhel) fell 0.51% to Rs 1805.20. The scrip extended recent sharp losses triggered by disappointing Q1 results. The stock hit 52-week low of Rs 1786 in intraday trade today. The company's net profit rose 22.15% to Rs 815.51 crore on 9.97% increase in net sales to Rs 7125.68 crore in Q1 June 2011 over Q1 June 2010. The net profit was boosted by a steep 52.12% jump in non-operational income to Rs 248.65 crore in Q1 June 2011 over Q1 June 2010. The result was announced on 26 July 2011.
The top line growth fell short of market expectations. Analysts were expecting a much stronger revenue growth in Q1 June 2011 from Bhel on expectations of a strong execution of the large order book of the power equipment major. The company's outstanding order book was Rs 159600 crore as on 30 June 2011.
Engineering & construction bellwether Larsen & Toubro (L&T) fell 4.24%, with the stock falling for the second straight day. The company's unit L&T Finance Holdings has priced its recently concluded initial public offer (IPO) at Rs 52 a share, near the lower end of the Rs 51-59 price band. The issue closed on Friday, 29 July 2011. The IPO was subscribed 5.34 times. The IPO is an important part of Larsen & Toubro's plan to spin off some of its non-core businesses into self-sustaining units with independent access to capital markets.
Among other capital goods stocks, ABB, BEML, Siemens and Thermax shed by between 0.25% to 3.83%.
Auto stocks were mixed after mixed vehicle sales data for July 2011 released recently by individual auto firms. India's largest truck maker by sales Tata Motors fell 2.92%, with the stock falling for the second straight day on weak July 2011 vehicle sales. The company's total sales fell 6% to 63,761 units in July 2011 over July 2010. Tata Motors' domestic sales of Tata commercial and passenger vehicles fell 9% to 57,990 in July 2011 over July 2010. The company's commercial vehicle sales increased 14% to 40,798 units. LCV sales were 24,962 units, a growth of 22% over July last year. M&HCV sales stood at 15,836 units, a growth of 4% over July last year. The monthly sales data was released during trading hours on Monday, 1 August 2011.
Tata Motors' domestic car and sport-utility vehicle sales plunged 38% to 17,192 units in July 2011 over July 2010.
Tata Motors plans to restructure its local dealership network for its passenger vehicles this year in a bid to boost sales. The company plans to set up 300 dealerships specifically for its Nano minicar as well as 100 for its utility vehicles such as the Aria and Safari by the end of March 2012. The company had 250 full-range dealerships as of April 2011. Tata Motors today, 2 August 2011, launched a new version of the Aria, which will be sold in three variants priced between Rs 11.6 lakh and Rs 14.3 lakh.
Utility vehicles and tractors major Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) fell 2.59%, with the stock falling for the second straight day. The company's total automobile sales jumped 41% to 39,633 units in July 2011 over July 2010. Domestic sales increased 42% to 37,323 units and exports rose 32.30% to 2310 units in July 2011 over July 2010. The Verito sedan registered a strong growth of 117% having clocked 1630 units in July 2011, as against 752 units in July 2010, maintaining its upward growth trend since Mahindra took over the brand.
The Passenger Vehicles segment (which includes utility vehicles and Verito) registered a growth of 35%, having sold 17312 units in July 2011, as against 12825 units during July 2010. The 4 wheeler commercial segment which includes the passenger and load categories has registered a phenomenal growth of 91%. Speaking on the monthly sales data, Rajesh Jejurikar, Chief Executive, Automotive Division, Mahindra & Mahindra said, We are delighted with the 41% growth in our Automotive Business in July 2011 and the record for highest ever sales. All our brands have been doing very well and Verito continues its very strong demand momentum. The monthly sales data was released during trading hours on Monday, 1 August 2011.
India's largest car maker by sales Maruti Suzuki India rose 0.35%, reversing initial losses. The company announced during market hours on Monday, 1 August 2011, that total sales fell 25.3% to 73,500 units in July 2011 over July 2010. The company said sales was negatively impacted to the extent of about 17,000 units due to discontinuation of old Swift and due shifting of Swift Dzire from Manesar plant to Gurgaon plant. The company said new Swift being manufactured at the Manesar plant will be launched nationally in mid-August 2011.
Hero MotoCorp rose 0.69%, reversing initial losses. The company's total motorcycle sales rose 14.82% to 4.91 lakh units in July 2011 over July 2010. Anil Dua, Sr. Vice-President (Marketing & Sales), Hero MotoCorp said the good numbers of July 2011 have come about despite constraints on supply from the company's Haridwar plant due to 'Kawar' movement in the region during the month. The company had to keep the Haridwar plant closed for a few days in July 2011 due to this reason. Dua said the company is looking to ride the current buoyancy in sales into the festive season by launching the company's new identity, innovative products and engaging campaigns.
Hero MotoCorp came into being last week after the company received the necessary statutory approval from the Registrar of Companies (RoC) for the changeover to the new name. As a next step, Hero MotoCorp will unveil its new global brand identity in London on 9 August 2011. Wolff Olins, a part of the Omnicom group, had been engaged to work on the new brand identity, including the brand architecture, brand name, brand logo and brand positioning. The company has also roped in Law & Kenneth (L&K) as a creative partner to give shape to the communication for launching and establishing the new brand.
Bajaj Auto fell 1.72%. The company announced during market hours on Tuesday that total sales rose 14% to 3.63 lakh units in July 2011 over July 2010. Motorcycle sales rose 14% to 3.18 lakh units and commercial vehicles sales rose 18% to 45,617 units. The company said it clocked record 3-wheeler sales in July 2011. The company's exports jumped 35% to 1.43 lakh units in July 2011 over July 2010.
TVS Motor Company rose 0.57% on strong Q1 results. Net profit surged 45.7% to Rs 58.80 crore on 24.7% rise in net sales to Rs 1707.27 crore in Q1 June 2011 over Q1 June 2010. The result was announced after trading hours on Friday, 29 July 2011. The company on Monday, 1 August 2011, reported a 14% growth in total sales to 1.89 lakh units in July 2011 over July 2010. Scooter sales grew 22% to 49,333 units, while motorcycle sales increased 15% to 70,170 units.
ACC declined 1.32%, after the stock turned ex-dividend today, 3 August 2011, for interim dividend of Rs 11 per share for the year ending December 2011.
Borosil Glass Works declined 1.89%, after the stock turned ex-dividend today, 3 August 2011, for dividend of Rs 15 per share for the year ended March 2011.
Investors' focus continues on Q1 corporate earnings. Investors are focusing on the post-Q1 June 2011 result management commentary to gauge the future earnings outlook at a time when Indian firms are witnessing cost pressures amid rising interest rates and staff costs.
United Spirits unveil Q1 results today, 3 August 2011. Adani Power, Mundra Port And Special Economic Zone and Indian Hotels announce Q1 results on Thursday, 4 August 2011. Cipla and IL&FS Transportation Networks are set to announce Q1 results on Friday, 5 August 2011.
M&M announces Q1 results on 8 August 2011. ABB, Tata Communications, Mahindra Satyam, GMR Infrastructure and VIP Industries announce quarterly results on 9 August 2011. Tata Power and Rural Electrification Corporation unveil Q1 results on 10 August 2011. Tata Motors, Castrol India and Shipping Corporation of India unveil quarterly results on 11 August 2011. Tata Steel, Hindalco, Coal India, National Aluminium Company and HPCL unveil Q1 results on 12 August 2011. Aditya Birla Nuvo unveils Q1 results on 13 August 2011.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Tuesday, 2 August 2011, tightened its rules on sales of derivative products, in a move aimed at preventing the mis-selling of these complex products to local firms. RBI said in a notification that no bank can be a market maker in a product that it can't price independently, even if it covers the risk from the deal with another bank immediately. A market maker is a financial middle-man, typically a bank, that helps the price discovery process and adds liquidity to the market by quoting both bid and ask prices for financial products.
The new rules prevent foreign banks from being market makers in a product if they can't price it locally. Banks must also now make sure that officials to whom they sell derivative products are backed by the board to execute such transactions, the RBI said. RBI didn't specify what derivatives are covered by the new rules.
The services sector expanded at its fastest clip in three months in July 2011, driven by solid expansion of new business, but input prices also rose faster, a survey showed on Wednesday, 3 August 2011. The HSBC Markit Business Activity Index, based on a survey of around 400 companies, rose to 58.2 in July from 56.1 in June, staying above the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction for the 27th consecutive month. The new business sub-index recorded its strongest growth since February, rising to 59.3 from 57.1, as demand improved and firms found new customers.
The economy will grow at 8.2% in the year to March 2012, but it faces a challenge in achieving the fiscal targets set in the annual budget, a top economic advisory panel said in a report released early this week. Headline inflation would remain close to 9% till October, before beginning to ease, and would be at 6.5% in March, the prime minister's Economic Advisory Council said.
Exports grew by an impressive 46% to $29 billion in June 2011, despite uncertainty in the US and European markets, the latest data showed. Merchandise exports had aggregated to $20 billion in June 2010. During the April-June quarter, overseas shipments grew by 46% to $79 billion, according to Commerce Ministry data released on Monday, 1 August 2011. Though imports grew by 42% to $37 billion in June, the trade deficit of $7.6 billion was almost half the level of $15 billion seen in May, lessening concerns over the country's balance of payments situation.
Growth in manufacturing sector fell for the third month in a row in July as a long series of interest rate hikes and faltering global demand weighed on new orders and output growth, a survey showed on Monday, 1 August 2011. The HSBC Markit Business Activity Index, based on a survey of around 500 companies, fell to a 20-month low of 53.6 in July from 55.3 in June, though it remained above the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction for the 28th consecutive month.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised its key lending rates by 50 basis points at a policy review on 26 July 2011, to tame high inflation. The RBI has raised its end March 2012 inflation target to 7% as against the previous estimate of 6%, saying inflation has been higher than its expectations. It kept its economic growth forecast of 8% for this fiscal year. The RBI revised downwards non-food bank credit growth projection to 18% for the year ending March 2012 (FY 2012) from 19% earlier.
Although the impact of past monetary policy actions is still getting transmitted, considering the overall growth and inflation scenario, there is a need to persevere with the anti-inflationary stance, the RBI said. Going forward, the monetary policy stance will depend on the evolving inflation trajectory, which, in turn, will be determined by trends in domestic growth and global commodity prices, the RBI said. A change in stance will be motivated by signs of a sustainable downturn in inflation, it added.
The uncertain global macro-economic environment poses a challenge for the domestic economy from the perspective of financing the current account deficit, RBI said. In this context, the composition of capital flows remains a concern. In recent months, some shift in composition of capital flows towards foreign direct investment (FDI) has been observed. This trend needs to be reinforced through policy actions to improve the quality of financing of the current account deficit, RBI said.
European stock markets fell sharply on Wednesday, 3 August 2011, with Societe Generale leading the decline after the French bank warned that its 2012 earnings target will be hard to achieve. Key benchmark indices in UK, France and Germany were down by 0.32% to 0.93%.
European debt worries came back to the fore on Tuesday, 2 August 2011, when Italian and Spanish five-year credit-default-swap spreads hit new record highs.
Asian shares fell heavily across the board on Wednesday, 3 August 2011, with investors exiting equities on mounting concerns about slowing global growth and shaky sovereign debt. The key benchmark indices in China, South Korea, Indonesia, Singapore, Hong Kong, Japan, and Taiwan fell by between 0.03% to 2.59%.
A key Chinese non-manufacturing gauge rose for the first time in three months in July, indicating that some pockets of the world's No.2 economy are not doing that badly despite a series of monetary tightening steps taken by the government to cool inflation. However, a separate survey by HSBC showed moderation in China's services sector in July for a second successive month due to a weaker rate of increase in new business.
HSBC reported early this week that that its China manufacturing purchasing managers' index fell to 49.3 during the month from 50.1 in June. A separate, official survey by the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing showed the nation's PMI slipped to 50.7 in July from 50.9 in June, but remained above the expansion/contraction boundary of 50
Trading in US index futures indicated that the Dow could gain 73 points at the opening bell on Wednesday, 3 August 2011. US stocks slumped on Tuesday as the wrangling over the US debt ceiling faded and investors turned their attention to the stalling economy. US Senate on Tuesday approved on a 74 to 26 vote the $2.1 trillion deficit-reduction plan, already passed on Monday by the Republican-controlled House of Representatives. President Barack Obama immediately signed the bill into law, lifting the government's $14.3 trillion debt ceiling hours before a Tuesday midnight deadline
Shortly after the Senate vote, Fitch Ratings said the agreement to raise the US borrowing capacity means the risk of a sovereign default is extremely low and commensurate with a AAA rating. But it warned Washington must reduce its debt or face a downgrade.
Meanwhile, a government report showed US consumer spending fell unexpectedly in June for the first decline in nearly two years as incomes barely rose. The government's key monthly jobs report for July 2011 is due on Friday, 5 August 2011, and will be closely watched by investors.
Moody's Investors Service late on Tuesday confirmed the US' triple-A rating following the increase in its debt ceiling. However, the rating agency assigned a negative outlook on the rating. The ratings agency also said the debt deal is the first step in long-term fiscal consolidation that is the key in maintaining the sovereign rating at triple-A. Moody's also warned that the negative outlook indicates that there is a risk of a downgrade if the US fiscal environment weakens further and its economic outlook deteriorates significantly.

MARKETS UNDER PRESSURE

Consistent sell-off in heavyweights like Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, L&T, Bharti and TCS has been putting pressure on the Nifty though the index managed to get back above the 5,400 mark.
The market has seen a bit of recovery from day's lows on the back of buying in SBI and BHEL at lower levels.
The fall was led by the downtrend across the globe because of growth concerns in the US after weak manufacturing data and endless European debt crisis, wherein Spain and Italy may now be the victims after Greece.
European markets were down between 0.5% and 1%. Asian markets too closed down between 1.5% and 2.5% while only Shanghai remained flat.
A bit of recovery suggested that the market has priced in all negative cues. The 30-share BSE Sensex was trading at 17,961, down 148 points (showed 100 points recovery from day's low of 17,859.5) and the 50-share NSE Nifty fell 47 points to 5,409.
Adrian Mowat of JPMorgan said they have downgraded India to neutral on the back of higher comparable inflation levels and RBI's response.
In the largecaps, L&T hammered the most today - lost over 3.5%. TCS, ICICI Bank, Bharti Airtel, Tata Motors, Axis Bank, JSPL, M&M and DLF were down between 2% & 3%.
Country's largest telecom operator Bharti Airtel reported a sharp (13%) drop in its QoQ profits for first quarter of FY12. Consolidated net profit of the company declined to Rs 1,215 crore as against Rs 1400.7 crore in the previous quarter.
However, ITC, SAIL and Sesa Goa bounced back, gaining between 1.5% and 2%. HDFC Bank, Hero Honda, Ambuja Cements, Reliance Infrastructure, Hindalco and Maruti were other gainers, which were quite supportive.
The market breadth was negative—about three share declining for every one share gaining.

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

TREND FOR 3rd AUGUST

The Markets continue to be in negative zone, but the Nifty is likely to find it's bottom at 5450 - 5400 levels, thus it may slip to 5404 & on the upside may move up to 5502 - 5532. Long positions can be taken in TATAMOTORS for a target of 1040, SOBHA for a target of 278, KOTAKBANK for a target of 468, GODREJIND for a target of 236, ONGC for a target of 290.

                                                        CHEERS !!!

MARKET DRAGS

Fall in manufacturing data in US, Europe and China dented investor sentiment across the globe. The benchmark Sensex shed 200 points in trade today with rate sensitives like banking, realty and capital goods taking a beating.
The 50-share NSE Nifty hit the 5450 level on downside -- trading at 5,455, down 62 points while the 30-share BSE Sensex fell 202 points to 18,112 late morning trade.
Manifestly global events would be the decisive factor for the markets for next few months.
Technology stocks were under pressure because slowdown will definitely have impact on exports of these companies. Infosys, TCS and Wipro were down between 1% & 2%.
Heavyweights Bharti Airtel, ITC, L&T, SBI, ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank slipped between 1% & 2%. Reliance Industries slipped over 0.5%.
However, Sun Pharma, NTPC, HUL, Cipla, Ranbaxy and GAIL were only gainers on Nifty..
On the global front, Asian markets extended losses - Kospi was the major loser, falling 2.4%. Shanghai, Nikkei, Straits Times and Taiwan were down 1-1.7%. Hang Seng was down 0.7%.
The Institute for Supply Management's Purchasing Managers' Index (ISM Manufacturing Index) for July fell to 50.9 from 55.3 in June while the market expected at 54. Ecen China's PMI Manufacturing Index for July dipped to 50.7 from 50.9 in June.
Same was the case with Euro zone, wherein manufacturing PMI fell to 50.4 in July from 52 in June - its worst showing since September 2009

Monday, August 1, 2011

TREND FOR 2nd AUGUST

In spite of the relief rally today the markets continue to remain in negative territory & are below 5 & 10 EMA, thus the Nifty may move up to 5525 - 5550 & on the downside may slip to 5450. Long positions can be taken in APIL for a target of 614, GODREJIND for a target of 235, MAX for a target of 192, SINTEX for a target of 195, EVERONN for a target of 600.
                                                       CHEERS !!!

ECONOMIC SCENARIO

The world stock markets breathed a sigh of relief on Monday morning as the biggest economy raised its debt ceiling to avoid a potential default. President Obama and the Congress have agreed on a framework that would target raising US' debt ceiling. It would also target spending cuts and boosting savings. This news came as a breath of fresh air for all those who were worried that US would default on its debt.

But despite this huge risk, the country has still attracted the safest credit rating of AAA from Standard & Poors that has recently released the sovereign debt ratings for 126 countries. The ratings agency had only threatened to downgrade US debt if the debt ceiling was not raised. So solving the debt problem with more debt has given the entire world a lot to cheer on. But is this really a solution to the problem?

If we look at the examples of countries with mountains of debt like Greece, it does not appear so. Rather it appears that US seems to have just postponed their problems to another date. Or as a matter of fact to another President in case Mr Obama does not win the next Presidential race. The country's economic growth has slowed down in recent times. Add to this, the unemployment rates have skyrocketed. For private employment to pick up, it is necessary for the economy to grow at faster rates. And with the government scheduled to cut back on its spending, it is unlikely that the public sector would fuel any major growth. Therefore, in all possibility, it does appear that the US is headed in to another recession. And if this happens, there would be fresh tremors across the world's markets. 

'No power on earth can stop an idea whose time has come'. This is how the then finance minister, Mr Manmohan Singh, introduced India to reforms way back in 1991. Clearly, it was the best thing to have happened to the country since independence perhaps. This 'big bang' change helped propel India's GDP by a massive 247% in the two decades that followed. However, a lot of water has flown under the bridge since then. The finance minister of 1991 is now the prime minister of the nation and that too, for the second consecutive term. And has he stuck to his guns of introducing large scale reforms? May be not, if the daily, San Francisco Chronicle is to be believed. The newspaper has come down heavily on Mr Singh's new found approach of diverting focus from reformist changes and instead, embracing populist measures. This, the daily believes, is clearly taking its toll on the economy. As per estimates, India seems to be losing about 2.5% points in growth a year on account of un necessary regulations and approval requirements. However, not everyone believes in this theory. There are experts who argue that Mr Singh is clearly doing the right thing as this will make the Indian growth story far more inclusive. If the evidence so far is anything to go by, Mr Singh seems to be failing in his approach as inflation is running rampant and investments slowing down. It will be interesting to see how things pan out in the long term. 


SEBI in recent times has made headlines for coming out with guidelines meant for the benefit of minority shareholders and for investors across mutual funds. And with respect to the latter, the regulator intends to make investing a simple and easy process. Some of the measures introduced by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) Chairman, UK Sinha are wider open offer exit routes, simplified initial public offer (IPO) application and single Know Your Client (KYC) norms. That said, investors will have to shell out Rs 100 for annual investments of over Rs 10,000 (Rs 150 for first time investors) if made through a mutual fund distributor or an agent. The single KYC norms are expected to intensify competition across brokers though. Earlier, investors had to submit various proofs and signatures to every new equity broker, mutual fund house, depository participant and portfolio manager he approached. With single KYC norms now being introduced, investors will be abl e to switch between brokers without having to submit umpteen signatures thereby fuelling competition between them. Indeed, with this process, serious investors will certainly benefit especially those who were hampered by the cumbersome process that was prevalent earlier. 


If you have been an investor in financial stocks in the emerging markets your portfolio by now could have a shade of red. Banks in the biggest emerging markets are losing the confidence of investors. As loans turn sour after a two-year credit binge, rising NPAs and conservative provisioning is taking a toll on profits. Few in India have also had to write-off staff payments on a retrospective basis against their reserves. This is at a time when the lending margins are also showing no signs of recovery. Only the ones with high share of low cost deposits have been able to at least maintain the same. A report by rating agency Fitch, published by Bloomberg puts it accurately. "Loans to Brazilian shoppers, Chinese infrastructure projects and Indian developers have fueled the global economic recovery. This has turned emerging-market banks into some of the world's biggest companies by market value" It also suggests that banks in Brazil and China could see loan growth drop by at le ast 50% over the next 2 years. This is while the central banks try to curb price rises and asset bubbles. Our very own RBI has been quite proactive at this and the results are being seen. As per the IMF, the average debt burden in the BRIC economies is just 40% of GDP (gross domestic product). This when compared with 102% percent for developed nations seems benign. However it will be best to assume that banks in emerging markets will have to moderate growth in the medium term to keep themselves healthy. 
In the meanwhile, the Indian Stock Markets shed half of the morning session gains but continue to trade in the green. At the time of writing, the benchmark BSE Sensex was trading up 117 points, whereas the Nifty has put on 34 points Mahindra and Mahindra (M&M) and Infosys were seen gaining the most amongst blue chips. All major Asian indices closed in the green today with stock markets from Japan and South Korea leading the pack of gainers. Europe too has opened on a positive note.

SHORT COVERING

Short covering has taken the benchmark Nifty above the 5,500-mark today. The recovery was on expected lines after a sell-off seen in previous four sessions. Approval of US debt limit yesterday has given a sigh of relief for global markets.
Asian markets like Hang Seng, Nikkei, Straits Times and Kospi went up 1-1.8%. Taiwan rose 0.5% while Shanghai was flat. Even Dow Jones and NASDAQ futures gained 1.5% each.
Indian markets too participated in the rally. The 50-share NSE Nifty was trading at 5,528, up 47 points and the 30-share BSE Sensex jumped 165 points to 18,362.

Financial stocks like HDFC, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank and Axis Bank moved up 1-3%. Technology stocks too gained as they are the software exporters; Wipro and Infosys rose 1.3% each. TCS was up 0.6%.
However, SAIL (post earnings) and JSPL were biggest losers on Nifty, with falling between 3% & 4%. Sterlite Industries and Sesa Goa gained 2-2.5%.
Though the market was on buyers' radar today but the market breadth was not suggesting too much strong trade today. About 709 shares advanced against 516 shares declined on National Stock Exchange.
 The markets clearly appear to be in a range of 5400- 5750