Monday, February 6, 2012

UPTREND CONTINUES

Indian frontline equity indices somehow managed to escape the wild swings in the dying hours of trade unaffected as they finished the session with over half a percent gains. Just when it appeared that the benchmarks will conclude another positive session with good gains, hefty bouts of selling pressure emerged abruptly in the last leg of trade, which dragged the key gauges to the lowest point in the session. However, the kneejerk selling pressure was immediately countered before the close of session as it seemed like the bulls had the last say as they stalled the declining momentum of the benchmarks and took the key indices to the highest point in the session. Stocks from the high beta - Realty, Capital Goods and Metal counters led the late recovery for the markets as they rallied in the range of 1.5-4%. Benchmarks carried forward the gaining momentum even after the over two percent rally in the previous week, as sentiments were bolstered early in the session on the back of unexpectedly encouraging US jobs data, signaling that worries over deep recession are making way for economic recovery. Besides, upstream oil companies had more reasons to worry since reports suggested that the government increased subsidy burden on the state-run oil refiners by asking them to compensate around 38% of revenue losses on fuel sales during April-December 2011. Meanwhile, global rating agency S&P's in its latest report has highlighted that India is facing some challenges on a few fronts, and the balance of risk factors for the sovereign credit rating may be shifting slightly toward the negative. On the earnings front, FMCG major announced results for the third quarter, which largely were better than expectations, however the stock got pounded over 3.50% since its personal product segment showed disappointing growth numbers. On the Asian front, initial optimism has petered out and markets in the region settled on a mixed note while European stock markets declined as the outcome of the long awaited Greece debt negotiations was still elusive as the country's political leaders and its private-sector creditors scrambled to complete twin negotiations on an aid package and mammoth debt deal.
Earlier on Dalal Street, the benchmark got off to a gap up opening tracking the impressive leads from Asian markets on the back of encouraging over the weekend leads from the US. Thereafter, the bourses remained in fine fettle through the next two hours. But in late morning trades the optimism in the markets showed signs of petering out. Hefty bouts of selling pressure in mid noon trades even dragged the bourses to the neutral line. However, the resilient indices did not capitulate to the extreme volatility and rebounded to eventually extend the northbound journey for the fifth straight session. The NSE's 50-share broadly followed index Nifty, climbed by over half a percent to settle above the crucial 5,350 support level while Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index or Sensex garnered little over a hundred points and ended above the psychological 17,700 mark. Moreover, the optimism in broader markets remained intact through the day, which helped the indices settle on a strong note with over a percent gains, outperforming their larger peers. On the BSE sectoral space, rate sensitive Realty counter remained top gainer in the space with hefty gains of about four percent while the Capital Goods sector too gained a lot of traction and finished with two percent gains. On the flipside, defensive-Healthcare counter remained the only chink in the armor with marginal losses. The markets climbed on strong volumes of over Rs 1.40 lakh crore while the turnover for NSE F&O segment remained on the higher side as compared to that on Friday at over Rs 1.18 lakh crore. The market breadth remained optimistic as there were 1,855 shares on the gaining side against 1,054 shares on the losing side while 105 shares remained unchanged.
Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 102.35 points or 0.58% to settle at 17,707.31, while the S&P CNX Nifty surged by 35.80 points or 0.67% to close at 5,361.65.
The BSE Sensex touched a high and a low of 17,829.72 and 17,595.10 respectively. The BSE Mid cap and Small cap indices were up by 1.26% and 1.43% respectively.
The major gainers on the Sensex were Jindal Steel up 3.39%, BHEL up 2.86%, SBI up 2.85%, Cipla up 2.19% and L&T up 2.14%. While, Tata Power down 4.36%, Hindustan Unilever down 3.49%, Sun Pharma down 1.79%, Gail India down 0.74% and Reliance down 0.60%, were the major losers on the index.
The top gainers on the BSE sectoral space were Realty up 3.96%, Capital Goods (CG) up 2.00%, Metal up 1.63%, PSU up 1.37% and Bankex up 1.33%, while Health Care (HC) down 0.12% was the only loser on the sectoral space.
Meanwhile, to help the ailing airline industry, a Group of Ministers (GoM) is likely to meet later this week to discuss the issues concerning the aviation sector. The GoM is likely to take a decision on investments limits in Indian carriers by foreign airlines, direct import of jet fuel by Indian carriers and Air India's financial restructuring plan. There is a common consensus on the fact that the ailing Indian aviation industry needs assistance to come out of its financial debt. It had been suggested that the government should allow foreign investments by international carriers in the Indian airline industry to help the industry to survive the current financial crisis.
Earlier, foreign airlines were not allowed to invest in Indian airlines though foreign direct investment (FDI) of up to 49% was allowed. A Committee of Secretaries has proposed a 49% cap on FDI by foreign airlines. But earlier, the Civil Aviation Ministry had suggested 24%, while the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP) had recommended 26%. At present, foreign investment of up to 49% is permitted in the aviation sector, apart from 100% in MRO (maintenance, repair and overhaul), airports, helicopter and sea-plane operations, but foreign carriers are not allowed to invest.
Another topic of discussion would be the direct import of jet fuel by Indian carriers. The expenditure on jet fuel accounts 40-50% of an airline's total operational cost and the airlines have demanded that they be allowed to import fuel to escape the heavy sales tax levied by states. The petroleum ministry is understood to have raised objections to the proposal but the Committee of Secretaries is said to have recommended the direct import.
The GoM shall also be discussing, the cash-strapped, Air India's financial restructuring plan (FRP) and turnaround plan (TAP). A decision on injecting additional equity into the national carrier is also likely to be taken up. The debt-ridden carrier has outstanding loans and dues worth Rs 67,520 crore, of which Rs 21,200 crore is working capital loan, Rs 22,000 crore is long-term loan on fleet acquisition, Rs 4,600 crore is vendor dues besides an accumulated loss of Rs 20,320 crore, according to official figures.
A panel of secretaries has recommended that Rs 23,000 crore be infused into the cash-strapped national carrier over the next 10 years, of which Rs 6,600 crore could be injected in the current fiscal ending March 31. As per its aircraft acquisition plans, Air India has already placed orders for 27 Boeing 787 Dreamliners and decided to take them on sale and leaseback mode. Under the leaseback mode, an airline purchases aircraft from the manufacturer and sells them to a leasing company and then gets the planes back on lease. This erases the aircraft purchase debt from the airline's books. The first of these planes are expected to be delivered by March.
The S&P CNX Nifty touched a high and low of 5,390.05 and 5,327.25 respectively.
The top gainers on the Nifty were ACC up 5.74%, Ambuja Cement up 5.22%, Siemens up 4.01%, Cairn up 3.53% and Jindal Steel up 3.50%.
On the flip side, Tata Power down 4.26%, HUL down 3.20%, Sun Pharma down 2.03%, Dr Reddy down 1.73% and Reliance Infra down 1.71% were the top losers on the index.
The European markets were trading in red as France's CAC 40 was down 1.06%, Britain's FTSE 100 down 0.38% and Germany's DAX down by 0.51%.
Sentiments remained jubilant in Asian region and most of the indices snapped the session in the positive terrain on Monday, tracking gains on Wall Street after strong US jobs data but worries about Greece's unresolved debt crisis capped the gains. A strong US jobs report for January sent Wall Street soaring on Friday as investors celebrated a surge that pointed to new vitality in a fragile recovery for the world's biggest economy. Meanwhile, Hong Kong shares snapped a two-session winning streak on Monday, falling back from early gains after benchmark indexes met chart resistance as investors took profit on some of last week's outperformers. While, mainland markets were mostly flat, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.03 percent at 2,331.14 after meeting downward trend line resistance at about 2,340-2,360.

MARKETS CONTINUE TO RISE

Resilient Indian equity markets are displaying optimistic trends in Monday afternoon trades as the benchmarks have regained the momentum lost in late morning session. Post hitting session's lows on the back of some profit booking in heavyweight stocks like RIL and ONGC, the benchmarks have managed to recuperate swiftly and are headed towards the psychological 17,750 (Sensex) and 5,400 (Nifty) levels. The recovery was led by bellwethers from high beat - Real Estate and Metal stocks. Besides, Upstream oil stocks like ONGC and GAIL are trending lower since reports suggested the government increased subsidy burden on the state-run oil refiners by asking them to compensate around 38% of revenue losses on fuel sales during April to December 2011. Meanwhile, global rating agency S&P's in its latest report has highlighted that India is facing some challenges on a few fronts, and the balance of risk factors for the sovereign credit rating may be shifting slightly toward the negative. On the Asian front, initial optimism has petered out and markets in the region are exhibiting mixed trends as the outcome was still elusive over the long awaited Greece debt negotiations as the country's political leaders and its private-sector creditors scrambled to complete twin negotiations on an aid package and mammoth debt deal. European stock futures slipped lower, indicating the markets there would fail to extend the gaining momentum as the deadline nears for Greece to accept the terms of a new bailout deal.
Moreover, the broader markets traded on strong note with around one and half a percent gains and comprehensively outperformed their larger peers. The bourses rose on good volumes of over Rs 0.50 lakh crore while market breadth on BSE was in favor of advances in the ratio of 1855:799 while 119 scrips remained unchanged.
The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 17,723.23 up by 118.27 points or 0.67% after trading as high as 17,829.72 and as low as 17,666.74. There were 23 stocks advancing against 7 declines on the index.
The broader indices were trading on a positive note; the BSE Mid cap index surged 1.63% and Small cap soared 1.75%.
On the BSE sectoral space, Realty up 4.27%, Metal up 2.14%, Capital Goods up 1.98%, PSU up 1.39% and Bankex up 1.25% were the major gainers while there were no losers in the space.
SBI up 2.99%, DLF up 2.87%, Hindalco up 2.85%, Sterlite up 2.65% and BHEL up 2.05% were the major gainers on the Sensex, while Tata Power down 2.71%, GAIL India down 0.64%, RIL down 0.38%, HDFC Bank down 0.28% and NTPC down 0.26% were the major losers in the index.
Meanwhile, in an attempt to increase revenues, the central government has decided to increase the number of services that fall under the gamut of service tax in the upcoming union budget. It is expected that the government will keep 22 services untaxed, technically called the negative list of service tax, and impose uniform 10% tax on all the other services. Services for the purpose will be defined as all kinds of economic activities, barring goods, money and immovable property.
This move has been motivated by the fact that though services sector contribute more than 60% of GDP, their contribution to the Central governments revenue is just 8.7%, as per the budget estimates for 2011-12. This is because service tax is a relatively new area in India and was imposed for the first time in 1994, when only 3 services were taxed. Then it contributed Rs 410 crore to the Centre's tax revenue.  Since then the net has widened to include over 125 services, but it is still felt that this is too minuscule relative to the size of the service sector in the economy.
Hence, it is believed that a larger number of services now need to be taxed. Analysts believe that increasing the net of service tax for the next financial year will alone increase service tax collections by 20-25%, and lead to a contribution Rs 82,000 crore to the Centre's revenue.
A negative list based on service tax represents a change in the government's approach as so far it has taxed on the principle of the positive list. The negative list concept is practiced globally and is proposed to be introduced in India as part of the Goods and Services Tax (GST). The government is trying to introduce the new GST regime, which will subsume various levies like excise, service tax and states tax, like value-added tax, entry tax and purchase tax.
In its pre-Budget consultative meeting with the finance minister, industry too demanded that government should come out with negative list, while expanding the service tax base. However, the States are of the opinion that the Centre should prepare the list in such a way that areas under their domain were not taxed by the Centre. States do not impose services tax, but certain categories that qualify as services are taxed by them under different heads.
As such, businesses paying tax to states may not be subjected to service tax by the Centre. Areas that could fall under this category are construction, entertainment, restaurants, transport, toll, betting and gambling.  States also proposed some services within the ambit of the Centre's residuary powers but critical for socio-economic reasons, such as social welfare and public utilities, agriculture, education and health, be kept in the negative list. The Centre may not be able to keep them in the negative list, but may decide to impose zero tax on them.
The S&P CNX Nifty is currently trading at 5,362.25, higher by 36.40 points or 0.68% after trading as high as 5,390.05 and as low as 5,344.35. There were 33 stocks advancing against 17 declines on the index.
The top gainers on the Nifty were Grasim up 4.54%, Siemens up 3.95%, Ambuja Cement up 3.83%, ACC up 3.68% and JP Associates up 3.54%.
Tata Power down 3.28%, Dr Reddy's down 1.25%, Sesa Goa down 0.93%, GAIL down 0.92% and Ranbaxy down 0.72% were the major losers on the index.
In the Asian space, Shanghai Composite eased 0.13%, Hang Seng declined 0.31%, Jakarta Composite slipped by 0.57% and Taiwan Weighted garnered 0.69%.
On the flipside, Nikkei 225 surged 1.10%, Straits Times ascended 0.98% and Seoul Composite rose 0.04%. 

MARKETS TRADING FIRM

The Indian equity markets gained strength and continued its firm trade in the mid morning session, on back of strong global clues, tracking strong Asian markets and on renewed buying interest from foreign institutional investors. The mood on the street was positive as data released by the US Labor Department showed that businesses accelerated hiring in January, creating jobs at the fastest rate in about nine months and signaling that worries over deep recession are making way for economic recovery. Traders were seen piling up positions in the Realty, Capital Goods (CG) and Metal sector. Sustained buying in mostly all the key heavyweights along with broader indices supported BSE's -- Sensex -- to trade comfortably over their crucial 17,750 mark while NSE's -- Nifty -- was trading over its crucial 5,350 mark. DLF and JP Associates from Realty counter were seen trading firm pulling the markets higher. L&T and BHEL from Capital Goods space were trading in green pushing the markets higher. Hindalco, Sterlite, SAIL, Tata Steel, Jindal Steel and Sesa Goa from Metal sector were standing firm in the positive zone giving the much needed support to the market. The market breadth on the BSE was positive; there were 1,789 shares on the gaining side against 538 shares on the losing side while 79 shares remained unchanged.
The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 17,795.47, up by 190.51 points or 1.08%. The index has touched a high and a low of 17,829.72 and 17,731.25 respectively. There were 28 stocks advancing against just 2 declining ones on the index.
Broader indices too are performing in tandem with the benchmarks; the BSE Mid cap and Small cap indices were up by 1.95% and 2.17% respectively.  
All the sectoral indices on the BSE were in green, Realty up 4.51%, Capital Goods was up by 2.36%, Metal up by 2.35%, Bankex up by 1.78% and PSU was up by 1.75% were the major gainers.
The top gainers on the Sensex were DLF up by 3.95%, SBI up by 3.28%, Hindalco Industries up by 2.75%, Sterlite Industries up by 2.73% and L&T was up by 2.61%. On the flip side, Gail India down by 0.74% and Tata Power down by 0.40% were the only losers on the index.
Meanwhile, in an attempt to increase revenues, the central government has decided to increase the number of services that fall under the gamut of service tax in the upcoming union budget. It is expected that the government will keep 22 services untaxed, technically called the negative list of service tax, and impose uniform 10% tax on all the other services. Services for the purpose will be defined as all kinds of economic activities, barring goods, money and immovable property.
This move has been motivated by the fact that though services sector contribute more than 60% of GDP, their contribution to the Central governments revenue is just 8.7%, as per the budget estimates for 2011-12. This is because service tax is a relatively new area in India and was imposed for the first time in 1994, when only 3 services were taxed. Then it contributed Rs 410 crore to the Centre's tax revenue.  Since then the net has widened to include over 125 services, but it is still felt that this is too minuscule relative to the size of the service sector in the economy.
Hence, it is believed that a larger number of services now need to be taxed. Analysts believe that increasing the net of service tax for the next financial year will alone increase service tax collections by 20-25%, and lead to a contribution Rs 82,000 crore to the Centre's revenue.
A negative list based on service tax represents a change in the government's approach as so far it has taxed on the principle of the positive list. The negative list concept is practiced globally and is proposed to be introduced in India as part of the Goods and Services Tax (GST). The government is trying to introduce the new GST regime, which will subsume various levies like excise, service tax and states tax, like value-added tax, entry tax and purchase tax.
In its pre-Budget consultative meeting with the finance minister, industry too demanded that government should come out with negative list, while expanding the service tax base. However, the States are of the opinion that the Centre should prepare the list in such a way that areas under their domain were not taxed by the Centre. States do not impose services tax, but certain categories that qualify as services are taxed by them under different heads.
As such, businesses paying tax to states may not be subjected to service tax by the Centre. Areas that could fall under this category are construction, entertainment, restaurants, transport, toll, betting and gambling.  States also proposed some services within the ambit of the Centre's residuary powers but critical for socio-economic reasons, such as social welfare and public utilities, agriculture, education and health, be kept in the negative list. The Centre may not be able to keep them in the negative list, but may decide to impose zero tax on them.
The S&P CNX Nifty is currently trading at 5,382.20, up by 56.35 points or 1.06%. The index has touched a high and a low of 5,390.05 and 5,361.15 respectively. There were 47 stocks advancing against 3 declining ones on the index.
The top gainers of the Nifty were JP Associates up by 4.53%, DLF up by 3.73%, SBI up by 3.41%, Ambuja Cement up by 3.30% and Hindalco was up by 2.98%.
Tata Power down by 1.06%, Gail India down by 0.95% and Dr. Reddy's Lab down by 0.40% were the only losers on the index.
The Asian equity indices were trading on a mix note; Shanghai Composite was up by 0.39%, Hang Seng surged by 0.51%, Nikkei 225 gained 1.12% and Straits Times was up by 1.20%. On the flip side, Jakarta Composite dropped 0.27%, Seoul Composite descended by 0.27% and Taiwan Weighted shed 0.54%. 

Friday, February 3, 2012

SEA - SAW TRADE

The Indian equity markets suddenly picked up steam and now moved into the green after cautious and a slightly listless start due to a mixed lead from global markets. Investors appearing bit clueless ahead of key US jobs data. On sectoral front, Realty stocks, which opened on a weak note, have edged higher on renewed buying in the sector. Healthcare and power stocks were also trading firm. Select automobile, information technology, FMCG and consumer durables stocks were up in positive territory with smart gains. Metal stocks were mostly trading lower. Bank, capital goods and oil stocks were also displaying some weakness. On the global front, street edged lower overnight and the mood on the Asian bourses is quite cautious with a slightly negative bias at present. Back home, the market breadth favoring the positive trend; there were 1,393 shares on the gaining side against 1,082 shares on the losing side while 106 shares remained unchanged.
The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 17,441.80, up by 9.95 points or 0.06%. The index has touched a high and a low of 17,474.38 and 17,382.70 respectively. There were 18 stocks advancing against 12 declining ones on the index.
Broader indices were outperforming the benchmarks; the BSE Mid cap and Small cap indices were up by 0.84% and 0.77% respectively.  
The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were, Realty up by 1.19%, Health Care up by 1.09%, Power up by 1.07%, TECk up by 0.62% and Auto up by 0.50%.
On the flipside, Metal down by 1.01%, Bankex down by 0.39%, CG down by 0.29% and Oil & Gas down by 0.26%.
The top gainers on the Sensex were M&M up by 2.26%, Sun Pharma up by 2.26%, Bharti Airtel up by 2.14%, Coal India up by 1.97% and Hindustan Unilever up by 1.49%.
On the flip side, Hindalco Inds down by 2.54%, Tata Steel down by 2.31%, Sterlite Inds down by 2.30%, Jindal Steel down by 1.77% and L&T down by 1.20% were the major losers on the index.
Meanwhile, in an effort to make the country self-sufficient in the key soil nutrient, a Group of Ministers (GoM) is scheduled to meet on February 16, 2012 to review and finalize a new investment policy for the urea sector. The policy which was designed by the government's apex economic planning body, the planning commission and approved by the Committee of Secretaries (CoS), headed by Planning Commission member Soumitra Choudhary, is aimed at stepping up the domestic production of urea, the most widely used soil nutrient in the country.
Currently, India imports about 6.5-7 million tonnes of urea. It is believed that this dependence can be brought down and India can produce an additional 6 million tonnes of urea domestically. The new urea policy aims at providing the right framework to achieve this target. As per the drafted policy, the CoS has suggested that incentives be given for setting up new plants (green-field) and expansion of the existing plants (brown-field).
The draft policy stipulates for using gas of up to $14 per million British thermal unit price (mBtu) for production of urea for being eligible for government subsidy/support.  The draft policy has suggested that the government should bear the entire cost of gas till $14 per mBtu, with gas being the main feedstock of urea and accounting 80% of the cost of manufacturing. Moreover, if gas of a higher price is used, then urea price will go up by $20 per tonnes for every dollar increase in the fuel cost.
Further, under the new urea policy, the minimum (floor price) and maximum (ceiling price) cost of production, is fixed at $290 a tonne and $320 a tonne respectively for green-fields and $310 a tonne and $340 a tonne for brown-fields. For revival of old or closed plants, the floor price is fixed between $250 and $280 a tonne and ceiling price at $410 a tonne. However, the gas price in this case will be fully subsidised between $7.5-14 per mBtu.
The idea behind fixing prices is that the floor price protects investors and the ceiling price protects the government from paying out excessively large subsidies while making the project financially a viable proposition. The floor and ceiling price is determined based on the cost of imported urea, which is known as import parity price (IPP).
At present the domestic urea production is estimated at 22 million tonnes, while the consumption is pegged at 29 million tonnes. The country faces a shortfall of 7 million tonnes, which is met through imports. This is the second attempt at devising a new policy. The first attempt was made in 2008 by a committee chaired by Abhijeet Sen however; it had failed to attract investors because of unavailability of domestic supply of gas.
The S&P CNX Nifty is currently trading at 5,275.50, up by 5.60 points or 0.11%. The index has touched a high and a low of 5,279.45 and 5,255.55 respectively. There were 32 stocks advancing against 17 declining ones, while one stock remained unchanged on the index.
The top gainers of the Nifty were IDFC up by 3.23%, Powergrid up by 2.90%, Bharti Airtel up by 2.24%, Grasim up by 2.19% and Sun Pharma up by 2.16%.
RCom down by 3.26%, Hindalco down by 3.04%, Sterlite Inds down by 2.46%, Tata Steel down by 2.45%, and Jindal Steel down by 2.01% were the major losers on the index.
The Asian indices were trading mixed; Nikkei 225 lost 0.46% and Seoul Composite was down by 0.63%. On the other hand, Shanghai Composite was up by 0.90%, Hang Seng was up by 0.21%, Jakarta Composite added 0.09%, Straits Times gained 0.81% and Taiwan Weighted was higher by 0.29%. 

CONSOLIDATION

The Indian equity markets are consolidating in the mid morning trade, the weakness in the regional markets is weighing down the sentiments , though there is not a severe cut but the markets are lacking buyers after three consecutive days of rally. Some of the high beta sectors like metal, Capital Goods, oil & gas are witnessing profit booking that has dragged the markets lower, however healthcare, power and consumer durables are powering the indices not to slip further. However, there has been some stabilization in the affected telecom stocks after the verdict of SC in the 2G scam. DB Corp was up by 0.23%, Tata Teleservices was up by 1.58%, though RCom was down by 4% and Idea Cellular was down by 2.5%
The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 17,399.23, down by 32.62 points or 0.19%. The index has touched a high and a low of 17,474.38 and 17,382.70 respectively. There were 16 stocks advancing against 14 declining ones on the index.
Broader indices were outperforming the benchmarks; the BSE Mid cap and Small cap indices were up by 0.37% and 0.49% respectively.  
The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were, Health Care up by 1.12%, Power up by 0.44%, CD up by 0.41%, FMCG up by 0.39% and Realty was up by 0.32%.
On the flipside, Metal down by 1.38%, CG down by 0.79%, Bankex down by 0.56%, Oil & Gas 0.51% and Auto was down by 0.16%.
The top gainers on the Sensex were Cipla was up by 2.03%, Sun Pharma up by 1.79%, Bharti Airtel up by 1.74%, Coal India was up by 1.43% and Tata Power was up by 1.35%.
On the flip side, Hindalco Inds down by 2.70%, Sterlite Inds down by 2.70%, Tata Steel down by 2.69%, Jindal Steel down by 2.02% and L&T down by 1.52% were the major losers on the index.
Meanwhile, a national policy will soon be announced to revamp and modernize the postal service department of India. The policy will also aim at expanding the activities of the postal sector and providing affordable services at all points in the country. It also aims at repositioning the Indian Postal department as a self-sufficient and cost-effective provider of services. Further, since the postal department has already been working as a quasi bank, efforts are on to convert it into a full fledged bank.
Speaking on the sidelines of the postal policy round table organised by FICCI, the Communications Minister, Kapil Sibal confirmed that the Postal Department had applied to the Reserve Bank of India for a banking license and he had written to the Finance Minister to expedite the same. He said that there was need to modernize the postal department so that it could keep up with the changing trends and also attain new heights.
India currently has 1.55 lakh post offices, 95% of which are located in rural areas. The postal department provides a host of savings products, postal life insurance, pension payments and money transfer services through these branches. However, it does not provide credit, which is the most important part of a financial institution. A banking license will help fill that gap, enabling the delivery of modern banking facilities in the remotest areas and therefore help bring about inclusive growth.
The department is also expecting large scale private sector participation in providing value added services and extending the department's product range beyond the current core functions. It was earlier reported that the department had already hired international consultancy firm Accenture to modernise the post offices across the country, which will also help create infrastructure for banking services.
The S&P CNX Nifty is currently trading at 5,261.60, down by 8.30 points or 0.16%. The index has touched a high and a low of 5,279.45 and 5,258.70 respectively. There were 26 stocks advancing against 23 declining ones, while one stock remained unchanged on the index.
The top gainers of the Nifty were Bharti Airtel up by 2.24%, Ranbaxy up by 2.04%, IDFC up by 1.98%, Dr Reddy up by 1.94% and Cipla was up by 1.88%.
RCom down by 3.62%, Hindalco down by 3.16%, Sterlite Inds down by 2.90%, Tata Steel down by 2.79%, and Jindal Steel down by 2.19% were the major losers on the index.
The other Asian indices were trading mixed; Shanghai Composite was up by 0.08%, Hang Seng was down by 0.10%, Nikkei 225 lost 0.55% and Seoul Composite was down by 0.94%,
On the other hand, Jakarta Composite added 0.09%, Straits Times gained 0.64% and Taiwan Weighted was higher by 0.05%. 

Thursday, February 2, 2012

MARKETS CONTINUE TO MOVE HIGHER

Prolonging its previous sessions' rally, Indian equity benchmarks have made a good start tracking positive cues from global indices. Investors' morale got underpinned after better-than-anticipated manufacturing reports from the global growth engines like China and India along with upbeat factory activity data from developed economies like the US and EU, spurred hopes that a recovery could be back on track. Moreover, the overnight rally on Wall Street on the back of strong manufacturing data and encouraging reports about the Greek debt crisis too boosted the sentiments. Back home, sustained buying in mostly all the key heavyweights along with broader indices supported BSE's -- Sensex -- and NSE's -- Nifty -- to regain their crucial 17,450 and 5,250 mark respectively. Moreover, continued capital inflows by foreign funds following an improvement in the sentiments on better-than- expected third quarter earnings by some corporates and strong sales in January by auto makers also supported the rally. The broader indices too were trading neck to neck with benchmarks. The market breadth on the BSE was positive; there were 1,241 shares on the gaining side against 363 shares on the losing side while 43 shares remained unchanged.
The BSE Sensex opened at 17,438.07; about 138 points higher compared to its previous closing of 17,300.58, and has touched a high and a low of 17,491.94 and 17,427.37 respectively.
The index is currently trading at 17,451.69, up by 151.11 points or 0.87%. There were 28 stocks advancing against just 2 declines on the index.
The overall market breadth has made a strong start with 75.35% stocks advancing against 22.04% declines. The broader indices too were trading in-line with benchmarks; the BSE Mid cap and Small cap indices rose 0.89% and 1.01% respectively.
The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were, CG up by 1.43%, Power up by 1.39%, Bankex up by 1.24%, Metal up by 1.23% and PSU up by 1.17%. While, there were no losers on the index.
The top gainers on the Sensex were Sterlite Industries up by 4.40%, Tata Power up by 3.36%, ICICI Bank up by 2.28%, Hero MotoCorp up by 1.96% and M&M up by 1.66%.
On the flip side, Cipla was down by 0.83% and ITC was down by 0.55% remained the only losers on the Sensex.
Meanwhile, India's fiscal deficit for the current financial year is likely to go up by one percentage point, and it is expected to hover around 5.6% as compared to the budgeted 4.6% of gross domestic product (GDP), said Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) panel member M Govinda Rao. 
As per the Controller General of Accounts (CGA) data, the fiscal deficit for the first three quarters (April-December 2011), has already reached 92.3% of the full-year target and it is unlikely that the government will be able to contain it at the budgeted levels. This is mainly due to poor realization of non-tax revenues and also because the government has so far managed to raise only Rs 1,145 crore this fiscal from disinvestment against a target of Rs 40,000 crore. 
Rao's forecast seconds the view expressed by many private economists who had warned that the deficit could overshoot the budgeted target due to slowing growth and weak federal finances. The Centre's fiscal deficit was 45% of the estimates in the same period last year. For the current financial year, the government had estimated a deficit of Rs 4.12 lakh crore, or 4.6% of the GDP.
Till December, the government's tax receipts stood at Rs 4.20 lakh crore, 63.3% of the Budget target for the entire financial year. On the other hand, non-tax receipts were just Rs 78,077 crore, 62.2% of Budget estimates. Likewise, non-debt capital receipts were just Rs 16,858 crore, 30.6% of estimates, against 69.4% in the first three quarters of the last financial year.
The S&P CNX Nifty opened at 5,272.10; about 37 points higher compared to its previous closing of 5,235.70, and has touched a high and a low of 5,287.60 and 5,267.60 respectively.
The index is currently trading at 5,269.70, higher by 34.00 points or 0.65%. There were 39 stocks advancing against 11 declines on the index.
The top gainers of the Nifty were Sterlite Industries up by 3.60%, Ambuja Cement up by 3.34%, Tata Power up by 2.50%, HCL Tech up by 2.16% and ICICI Bank up by 2.03%.
On the flip side, RCom down by 2.14%, Cairn down by 2.00%, Bajaj Auto down by 1.24%, Cipla down by 0.96% and IDFC down by 0.76% remained the top losers on the index.
All the Asian equiy indices were trading in the green; Shanghai Composite was up 6.96 points or 0.31% to 2,275.04, Hang Seng was up 296.31 points or 1.46% to 20,629.68, Jakarta Composite was up 22.53 points or 0.57% to 3,987.50, Nikkei 225 was up 78.25 points or 0.89% to 8,888.04, Straits Times was up 15.36 points or 0.53% to 2,920.12, Seoul Composite was up 24.25 points or 1.24% to 1,983.49 and Taiwan Weighted was up 60.54 points or 0.80% to 7,609.75. 

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

MINOR CUTS

Frontline equity indices have cut short some of their losses as encouraging manufacturing data from China partially offset concerns over a batch of downbeat U.S. economic reports and earnings disappointments. However, investors remained wary as they digested several pieces of competing global data and remained uneasy about Greece's protracted debt restructuring talks. China's official manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index for January rose to 50.5 compared with 50.3 in December, and was higher than the 49.5 forecast by economists. However, Asian equity indices after opening higher were trading on a mixed note. Meanwhile, the US stocks future indices were showing a downtick in the screen trade.
Back home, uptick in the stocks from Auto, Power, Metal and Healthcare counters led to trim of the benchmark's losses, however, stocks from Consumer Durable, Realty and Information Technology (IT) counters remained the week spell of the trade. The BSE benchmark 30 scrip index --Sensex--offloading over 50 points were trading sub 17100 mark. Similarly, widely followed 50 share index- Nifty--shedding over 15 point -was trading over 5100 mark. However, the broader indices opposing the trend, had gained additional traction. The overall market breadth on BSE was in the favour of declines which thumped advances in the ratio of 1437:768, while 101 shares remained unchanged.
The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 17,134.87, down by 58.68 points or 0.34%. The index has touched a high and a low of 17,210.16 and 17,094.07 respectively. There were 13 stocks advancing against 17 declining one's on the index.
Broader indices continue to trade in green; the BSE Mid cap and Small cap indices were up by 0.57% and 0.93% respectively.  
The only gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were, Auto up by 2.08%, Power up by 0.54%, Metal up by 0.38%, Health Care up by 0.35% and Oil and Gas up by 0.29%. While, CD down by 1.07%, Realty down by 1.00%, IT down by 0.94%, Bankex down by 0.89% and TECk down by 0.83% were the top losers on the index.
The top gainers on the Sensex were Tata Power up by 3.47%, Hero MotoCorp up by 3.38%, M&M up by 2.96%,  Jindal Steel up by 2.71%  and Maruti Suzuki up by 2.40%.
On the flip side, HDFC down by 2.17%, ICICI Bank down by 2.11%, Coal India down by 1.78%, ONGC down by 1.69% and DLF down by 1.46% were the top losers on the index.
Meanwhile, reflecting the impact of the high interest rate regime, all segments, including farm sector, services, industry and personal loans, reported lower credit growth off-take in December. As per the data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), growth of non-food credit off-take from banks by major sectors dipped to 15.4% in December.
This is the lowest rate so far in this fiscal. The growth has almost halved from the 27.2% figure registered in the same month of 2010. Total non-food credit disbursement stood at Rs 40.45 lakh crore in December, up from Rs 35.05 lakh crore in the same month of the previous financial year. Credit to agriculture increased by a dismal 5.6% in December 2011, as compared to 25.4% in the previous year. As per the data, total credit disbursement to agriculture and allied areas grew to Rs 4.60 lakh crore in December 2011.
Credit to industry increased by 19.8% in December 2011, down from 31.6% for the same period last year. Total credit disbursement to industry - which includes infrastructure, metals, food processing, rubber, plastic and their products and engineering - was Rs 18.58 lakh crore in December 2011.
Bank credit to the services sector increased by 14.9% y-o-y in December 2011, lower than 29.5% recorded in the previous year. The sector saw bank credit off-take rise to Rs 9.84 lakh crore in December this year. Within the services sector, transport, computer software, tourism and commercial real estate witnessed slower growth in credit off-take whereas disbursements to retail trade went up only marginally.
Credit to Non Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) increased by 36.2% in December, 2011, as compared with 50.1% in the previous year. Bank credit disbursement to the NBFCs stood at Rs 2.10 lakh crore in December this year. Personal loans increased by 12.3% in December, 2011, as compared with 16.7% in the previous year.
The S&P CNX Nifty is currently trading at 5,182.10, down by 17.15 points or 0.33%. The index has touched a high and a low of 5,198.35 and 5,167.80 respectively. There were 23 stocks advancing against 27 declining one's on the index.
The top gainers of the Nifty were Tata Power up by 3.61%, Hero MotoCorp up by 3.38%, M&M up by 3.08%, Jindal Steel up by 2.93% and Maruti Suzuki up by 2.57%.
Coal India down by 2.26%, ICICI Bank down by 2.16%, HDFC down by 1.98%, Sesa Goa down by 1.95% and BPCL down by 1.91% were the major losers on the index.
Most of the Asian equity indices were trading mixed; Hang Seng inched up by 0.02%, Jakarta Composite added 0.25% and Taiwan Weighted gained 0.35%. On the flipside, Nikkei 225 lowered by 0.08%, Seoul Composite was down by 0.08%, Shanghai Composite tumbled 0.47% and Straits Times shed 0.44%.